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Cuyahoga County Solid Waste Management Plan Update (December 2018) Chapter 3: Waste Generation <br />Figure 3'G: Waste Generation Projections <br />aJOoO;000 <br />215oq,000 <br />2Joo�000 <br />� z�oq000 <br />u0o�000 <br />Or <br />Waste PrGjected tmbeGenerated <br />2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 <br />Year <br />l- Residential/Commercial Waste Projections <br />Waste <br />-mmmwa*1nduytria|vvaste <br />-Total Waste <br />Residential/commercial sector disposal tonnages are projected to decline throughout the <br />planning period based on the District's population projections, which are discussed in Appendix <br />C. To project the total tons ofesidential/commerda| sector disposal from 2017 10 2033, the <br />average per capita disposal rate from 2012 to 2016 (4.75 PPD) was multiplied by 365 days/year <br />and the annual estimated population from Table C-2, then divided by 2,000 to convert from <br />pounds to tons. Table D-G in Appendix D presents the residential/commercie|vvaste disposal <br />projections. <br />Residential/commercial sector recycling is projected to decrease from 464.,584 tons in2019 to <br />457,8lO tons \n2O33,orl.4% over the planning period. While overall tonnage is anticipated to <br />decrease over the planning period, per capita recycling rates are anticipated to increase from <br />2.09 pounds per person per day (PPD) in 2019 to 2.20 PPO in 2033. Figure E-3 in Appendix E <br />presents the residential/commercial sector recycling statistics and projections from 2016 to <br />2033. <br />Multiple methodologies were used to project the Districts reside ntia I/commercia|sector <br />recycling, which were based onthe assumptions made after the completion ofahistorical <br />analysis for different programs anddatasouroe . With the exception of residential curbside and <br />drop-off recycling programs, historical averages were used to determine the projected tonnages <br />in 2017. The averages taken from past commercial recycling surveys and data from other <br />recycling facilities were used to project that there will be a 1% decrease every five years <br />throughout the planning period for commercial sector recycling. Averages were also used when <br />projecting organics and scrap tire recycling, although tonnages for both remained Oat since <br />there were no identifiable trends oranticipated program changes that would impact tonnages <br />for either. Electronics and household hazardous waste collection programs are projected to <br />decrease throughout the planning period based on population projections. Despite the District's <br />population decline, residential recycling has increased annually. It is assumed that through <br />continuing the District's education campaign to help communities improve their recycling and <br />